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Daily-recomputed per-loan failure probability across Kenya collections workflows
| Loan ID | Borrower | Product | DPD | IDP today | IDP 7d ago | M-Pesa float window | Recommended action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LN-KE-880214 | Wanjiku Fresh Supplies Ksh 842,000 at 29.5% APR | MSME working capital | 18 | 93.4% | 78.1% +15.3% | Fri 17:00-19:00 | escalate |
| LN-KE-879902 | Otieno Agrovet Kisumu Ksh 615,500 at 28.2% APR | Stock finance | 11 | 91.1% | 75.2% +15.9% | Mon 08:00-10:00 | STK |
| LN-KE-879744 | Amina Coast Textiles Ksh 1,240,000 at 26.8% APR | Biashara plus | 24 | 88.7% | 69.4% +19.3% | Thu 16:00-18:00 | restructure |
| LN-KE-879501 | Kiptoo Dairy Traders Ksh 2,080,000 at 24.7% APR | Asset-backed loan | 31 | 86.4% | 72.8% +13.6% | 25th 09:00-12:00 | call |
| LN-KE-879126 | Nyambura Salon Hub Ksh 356,800 at 31.2% APR | Jitengemee term | 7 | 84.2% | 66.4% +17.8% | Fri 18:00-20:00 | STK |
| LN-KE-878998 | Muli Transport Services Ksh 1,780,000 at 23.6% APR | Vehicle logbook | 28 | 82.9% | 71.1% +11.8% | Month-end 15:00-17:00 | escalate |
| LN-KE-878845 | Nakuru Auto Spares Ksh 936,400 at 27.4% APR | Invoice bridge | 15 | 81.3% | 70.1% +11.2% | Sat 10:00-12:00 | call |
| LN-KE-878719 | Mwende Cereals Depot Ksh 488,000 at 30.1% APR | Soko stock line | 5 | 79.9% | 65.8% +14.1% | Thu 14:00-16:00 | STK |
| LN-KE-878642 | Baraka Boda Sacco Ksh 1,560,000 at 24.1% APR | Group facility | 36 | 78.6% | 63.2% +15.4% | Mon 07:00-09:00 | restructure |
| LN-KE-878510 | Kisii Medical Stores Ksh 712,300 at 28.6% APR | Merchant advance | 12 | 77.2% | 68.9% +8.3% | Wed 17:00-18:00 | call |
| LN-KE-878384 | Eldoret Hardware Mart Ksh 2,350,000 at 22.9% APR | Asset-backed loan | 41 | 76.1% | 60.3% +15.8% | 28th 08:00-11:00 | escalate |
| LN-KE-878277 | Fatuma Poultry Feeds Ksh 534,900 at 29.7% APR | Agri input finance | 9 | 74.8% | 59.1% +15.7% | Fri 15:00-17:00 | STK |
| LN-KE-878142 | Thika Plastics Traders Ksh 1,115,000 at 25.9% APR | Invoice bridge | 22 | 73.3% | 64.6% +8.7% | Tue 11:00-13:00 | restructure |
| LN-KE-878019 | Mombasa Cold Chain Ksh 1,880,000 at 24.4% APR | Working capital | 19 | 72.1% | 61.2% +10.9% | Fri 18:00-19:30 | call |
| LN-KE-877884 | Meru Green Grocers Ksh 423,700 at 31.8% APR | Till turnover line | 6 | 70.4% | 55.7% +14.7% | Thu 09:00-11:00 | STK |
| Loan ID | Borrower | IDP trigger | Intervention type | Timestamp | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LN-KE-880214 | Wanjiku Fresh Supplies | 91.0% | officer task | 2026-07-04 08:12 EAT | Senior officer callback queued |
| LN-KE-879902 | Otieno Agrovet Kisumu | 89.0% | STK | 2026-07-04 08:36 EAT | Scheduled for 09:05 float window |
| LN-KE-879744 | Amina Coast Textiles | 87.0% | restructure offer | 2026-07-04 09:04 EAT | Offer preview sent to officer |
| LN-KE-878998 | Muli Transport Services | 83.0% | dignity queue | 2026-07-04 09:28 EAT | Contact frequency capped |
| LN-KE-878719 | Mwende Cereals Depot | 78.0% | STK | 2026-07-04 10:10 EAT | STK accepted, awaiting payment |
| Trigger name | Trigger type | Schedule | Last run | Next run | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily IDP Refresh | CRON daily 06:00 | daily 06:00 | 2026-07-04 06:00 | 2026-07-05 06:00 | ACTIVE |
| M-Pesa Inflow Monitor | EVENT on-mpesa-credit | real-time | live | live | ACTIVE |
| Fuliza Dependency Check | CRON every 6h | every 6h | 2026-07-04 18:00 | 2026-07-05 00:00 | ACTIVE |
| Float Window Optimizer | CRON every 2h | every 2h | 2026-07-04 22:00 | 2026-07-05 00:00 | ACTIVE |
| PAR Escalation Trigger | EVENT on-dpd-change | real-time | live | live | ACTIVE |
| CRB Inquiry Cluster | CRON weekly Mon 07:00 | weekly Mon 07:00 | 2026-06-30 07:00 | 2026-07-07 07:00 | ACTIVE |